Winner: Amanda Ribas
Confidence Score: 68Amanda Ribas holds key advantages in this stylistic matchup. She has a significant reach advantage (5 inches in arm reach, 1 inch in leg reach), which is historically a strong predictor of success in women's strawweight fights, especially when combined with higher striking accuracy (40% vs 36%) and defense (60% vs 58%). Ribas also has a higher takedown accuracy (54% vs 38%) and slightly better takedown defense (83% vs 82%), suggesting she can control where the fight takes place. Both fighters have a Judo base and similar fight experience, but Ribas has faced and beaten higher-ranked opposition, is currently ranked higher (#7 vs #10), and has more first-round finishes (5 vs 2). Ricci is defensively sound and tough, but Ribas’s ability to mix up her striking and grappling, combined with her physical advantages, should give her the edge in a competitive but winnable fight. Recent form is mixed for both, but Ribas’s overall resume and tools are superior in this matchup.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Amanda Ribas vs Tabatha Ricci can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Whittaker vs de Ridder can be found on the Whittaker vs de Ridder event page.