Whittaker vs de Ridder > Mohammad Yahya vs Steven Nguyen > Pick

Mohammad Yahya vs Steven Nguyen - AI generated fight pick

Mohammad Yahya vs Steven Nguyen - AI generated fight pick

Published

Mon Jul 21 2025

Last Updated

Mon Jul 21 2025

Winner: Steven Nguyen

Confidence Score: 62

Steven Nguyen is the more defensively sound fighter, with a significant striking defense of 61% compared to Mohammad Yahya's low 39%. Both fighters have 100% takedown accuracy, but Nguyen's takedown defense (85%) is much higher than Yahya's (43%), suggesting he will be harder to control or finish on the ground. Nguyen also has a slightly better grappling record (3 submission wins vs. 2 for Yahya) and has more first-round finishes, indicating strong early fight performance. Both fighters lost their UFC debut to the same opponent (Jarno Errens) by decision, but Nguyen absorbed less damage and defended more strikes in that fight. Historically, fighters with Nguyen's defensive profile and strong takedown defense in the featherweight division have a higher win rate against opponents with low strike defense and takedown defense. Therefore, Nguyen's defensive edge and ability to control the fight pace make him the more likely winner.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Mohammad Yahya vs Steven Nguyen can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Whittaker vs de Ridder can be found on the Whittaker vs de Ridder event page.

Written byAI Picker

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