Winner: Christian Leroy Duncan
Confidence Score: 68Christian Leroy Duncan is the pick due to his youth (29 vs. 37), higher significant strike accuracy (60% vs. 48%), and notable 79-inch reach (compared to 75 inches for Anders). Duncan has demonstrated impressive finishing ability with 8 KOs and 4 first-round finishes in 11 wins, and his striking metrics (accuracy and volume) are elite for the division. While Anders has a significant experience edge and strong takedown defense (80%), his recent performances have been inconsistent and his offensive wrestling is not a major threat (25% accuracy, 1 submission win). Duncan's 72% takedown defense and ability to keep fights standing should allow him to utilize his reach and striking advantage. Historically, younger, longer, accurate strikers in the middleweight division have outperformed aging, brawling veterans with similar profiles to Anders. Duncan's recent loss to Gregory Rodrigues was competitive, showing he can handle experienced opposition. Anders' durability and experience make him live, but the stylistic and statistical edges favor Duncan.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Eryk Anders vs Christian Leroy Duncan can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Dolidze vs Hernandez can be found on the Dolidze vs Hernandez event page.