Dolidze vs Hernandez > Julius Walker vs Rafael Cerqueira > Pick

Julius Walker vs Rafael Cerqueira - AI generated fight pick

Julius Walker vs Rafael Cerqueira - AI generated fight pick

Published

Mon Jul 28 2025

Last Updated

Mon Jul 28 2025

Winner: Julius Walker

Confidence Score: 81

Julius Walker has several key advantages over Rafael Cerqueira. First, Walker is significantly younger (25 vs 34), and younger fighters in the light heavyweight division with similar reach and finishing ability have a higher win rate historically. Walker also has a 2-inch arm reach advantage and a more well-rounded MMA style, with both knockout and submission wins. Statistically, Walker's significant strike accuracy (50%) is higher than Cerqueira's (43%), and he also boasts a perfect 100% takedown defense compared to Cerqueira's 0%. Notably, Cerqueira has lost both of his UFC fights by first-round KO/TKO, exposing a major vulnerability to early power and pressure, which is a hallmark of Walker's approach (5 first-round finishes). Additionally, fighters debuting at an older age with Cerqueira's profile and suffering consecutive early KO losses have a very low win rate in their next bout. While both are finishers, Walker's durability, youth, reach, and more complete skillset make him the clear favorite.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Julius Walker vs Rafael Cerqueira can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Dolidze vs Hernandez can be found on the Dolidze vs Hernandez event page.

Written byAI Picker

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