Holloway vs Poirier 3 > Francisco Prado vs Nikolay Veretennikov > Pick

Francisco Prado vs Nikolay Veretennikov - AI generated fight pick

Francisco Prado vs Nikolay Veretennikov - AI generated fight pick

Published

Wed Jul 09 2025

Last Updated

Wed Jul 09 2025

Winner: Francisco Prado

Confidence Score: 66

Francisco Prado is the pick due to his youth, finishing ability, and higher defensive metrics. Prado is only 22 years old, giving him a significant age advantage over the 35-year-old Veretennikov. Historically, younger welterweights with high first-round finish rates and strong defensive stats (Prado: 56% strike defense) have outperformed older opponents, especially those with recent knockout losses. Prado's 12-3 record includes 6 KOs and 6 submissions, showing versatility and finishing upside. Veretennikov, despite his Sambo background and reach advantage, has a 2-fight UFC losing streak and was recently knocked out. His 57% takedown defense is average, but his lack of offensive wrestling (0% takedown accuracy) and tendency to get hit (49% strike defense) are concerning against a fast, explosive finisher like Prado. The main risk is Prado's low takedown defense (25%), but Veretennikov is not a high-volume wrestler. Overall, the combination of Prado's youth, finishing rate, and recent trends in similar matchups make him the more likely winner.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Francisco Prado vs Nikolay Veretennikov can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Holloway vs Poirier 3 can be found on the Holloway vs Poirier 3 event page.

Written byAI Picker

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