Winner: Martin Buday
Confidence Score: 85Martin Buday is an established UFC heavyweight with a 15-2 record and a current top-15 ranking, while Marcus Buchecha is making his UFC debut with no MMA record in the promotion. Buday has demonstrated solid striking (54% accuracy), strong defense (55% sig strike defense, 100% takedown defense), and durability with a high average fight time (10:50). Heavyweight debutants without high-level MMA experience historically struggle against ranked, experienced UFC heavyweights, especially those with proven takedown defense and finishing ability. Buchecha's world-class grappling is notable, but without proven MMA striking or cage experience, the matchup heavily favors Buday, who can dictate range, defend takedowns, and exploit Buchecha's inexperience under UFC rules.
Live odds
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