Winner: Diego Lopes
Confidence Score: 72Diego Lopes is the more proven, well-rounded featherweight with a higher divisional ranking (#2 vs #10), greater experience (33 UFC fights vs 18 for Jean Silva), and a more diverse finishing ability (10 KOs, 12 subs, 15 first-round finishes). Lopes has a significant reach advantage (arm: 72.5 in vs 69 in, leg: 41 in vs 36.5 in), which is historically impactful in featherweight bouts, especially when paired with his grappling acumen. While Jean Silva is a dangerous striker with 12 KOs and excellent takedown defense (86%), Lopes' submission game and ability to finish early give him a strong stylistic edge. Lopes' recent form against top-tier opponents, and his ability to win both by KO and submission, suggest he can neutralize Silva's striking and capitalize if the fight hits the mat. Historically, fighters with Lopes' profile (longer reach, high submission rate, top-3 ranking) win a majority of these matchups, especially when facing aggressive strikers who have not been tested against elite grapplers.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Lopes vs Silva can be found on the Lopes vs Silva event page.