Elves Brener vs Esteban Ribovics - AI generated fight pick

Esteban Ribovics is the pick due to his superior striking accuracy (43% vs 48% for Brener) and much higher takedown accuracy (67% vs 24%), which is a key factor in lightweight matchups. He also has a higher average finish rate in the first round and has shown the ability to win both by knockout and submission. Brener is a dangerous submission threat with 11 wins by submission and a reach advantage, but Ribovics' takedown defense (63%) and ability to keep the fight standing (where Brener absorbs more strikes than he lands) tilt the matchup in his favor. Both fighters have recent split decision losses to Nasrat Haqparast, but Ribovics has a more consistent recent run, including a first-round KO over Terrance McKinney. Historically, fighters with Ribovics' striking and wrestling profile have a slight edge over submission-heavy lightweights, especially when they can dictate range and pace. However, Brener's submission threat and durability keep this a moderately confident pick.