Winner: Fares Ziam
Confidence Score: 77Fares Ziam holds significant statistical and stylistic advantages over Kaue Fernandes. Ziam is younger (27 vs 30), has more UFC experience, and possesses superior physical attributes with a 4-inch height, 2-inch arm reach, and 2-inch leg reach advantage. Statistically, Ziam boasts a higher significant strike accuracy (52% vs 50%), vastly superior significant strike defense (65% vs 29%), and a strong takedown game (41% accuracy, 70% defense), whereas Fernandes has shown no takedown offense or defense in his UFC stats. Ziam's average fight time is much longer, indicating strong cardio and composure in extended bouts, while Fernandes tends to finish early or fade. Historically, fighters with Ziam's profile (reach, defense, UFC tenure) have a higher win rate against fighters like Fernandes, who depend on early finishes and have defensive liabilities. Recent form also favors Ziam, who is coming off a solid win streak and has demonstrated improvement in all facets. Unless Fernandes lands an early finish, Ziam's technical striking, reach, and grappling edge should allow him to control the fight and secure a win, likely by decision or late stoppage.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Fares Ziam vs Kaue Fernandes can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Imavov vs Borralho can be found on the Imavov vs Borralho event page.