Mateusz Rebecki vs Chris Duncan - AI generated fight pick

Mateusz Rebecki is a proven lightweight with a strong grappling base (Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu) and a highly effective wrestling game, as indicated by his 75% takedown accuracy and 7 submission wins. He also has a high finish rate with 16 of his 20 wins coming by KO or submission, and a much higher first-round finish rate (10) than Duncan. While Christian Leroy Duncan is larger and has a significant reach advantage, he is a natural middleweight moving down and his takedown accuracy is very low (11%), which means he is unlikely to exploit Rebecki's 45% takedown defense. Rebecki's higher level of opposition and finishing ability, combined with Duncan's recent loss to a grappler (Gregory Rodrigues), suggest Rebecki's wrestling and submission threat will be the difference. Historically, fighters with Rebecki's experience and grappling credentials have had success against longer, striking-oriented opponents moving down in weight. While Duncan is dangerous on the feet, Rebecki's pressure, wrestling, and submission game make him the likely winner.