Winner: Loma Lookboonmee
Confidence Score: 68Loma Lookboonmee is a highly technical striker with a significant edge in UFC experience, having faced and beaten a higher level of competition over a longer UFC tenure. Her striking accuracy (56%) is notably higher than Alexia Thainara's (41%), and her takedown defense (74%) is a proven asset against grapplers. Thainara is a dangerous submission artist (7 wins by sub, 100% takedown accuracy in her UFC debut), but her 0% takedown defense suggests she has not yet been tested by high-level wrestlers or clinch specialists like Lookboonmee. Loma's ability to control range, defend takedowns, and pace herself for three rounds (average fight time nearly 14 minutes) gives her the edge. Historically, fighters with Loma's profile—elite strikers with solid takedown defense and UFC experience—win these matchups more often than not, especially against submission specialists making only their second UFC appearance. However, Thainara's submission threat and physical advantages (reach and height) keep this from being a high-confidence pick.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Loma Lookboonmee vs Alexia Thainara can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Ulberg vs Reyes can be found on the Ulberg vs Reyes event page.