Colby Thicknesse vs Josias Musasa - AI generated fight pick

Josias Musasa has a significant edge in striking, with 7 of his 8 wins by KO and a high first-round finish rate (6 of 8). He possesses a massive arm reach advantage (74" vs 69") and has a proven ability to finish fights early. His takedown defense is strong (78%), which should help him keep the fight standing against an opponent with no takedown threat (Colby has 0% takedown accuracy). Colby Thicknesse is more well-rounded, but his striking accuracy (30%) and defense (48%) are both lower than Musasa's, and he lacks finishing power (only 2 KOs, 2 subs in 7 wins). Historically, fighters with Musasa's finishing profile and physical advantages (reach, KO power) in the bantamweight division win a majority of similar matchups, especially when facing less defensively sound strikers. However, Musasa's own striking defense (29%) is a liability, and both fighters lost to Carlos Vera by first-round submission, indicating potential vulnerability on the ground for both. The pick leans to Musasa by KO/TKO, but not with full confidence due to defensive gaps and the potential for Colby to drag the fight into later rounds.