Winner: Navajo Stirling
Confidence Score: 64Navajo Stirling is undefeated at 7-0, has a reach advantage (79" to 77.5"), and is the younger fighter at 27 compared to Bellato's 29. Stirling's kickboxing style and high significant strike defense (61%) make him a difficult target, and his striking accuracy (53%) is solid for the division. Bellato has more experience and finishing ability (7 KOs, 4 subs), but his recent form is concerning, with three straight losses (including to Jim Crute and Paul Craig) and a significant drop in momentum. Bellato's takedown defense is perfect on paper (100%), but Stirling's takedown defense (79%) and longer average fight time suggest he can keep the fight standing and use his reach and defensive skills. Historically, undefeated kickboxers with reach advantages and strong defensive metrics outperform fighters on losing streaks in similar light heavyweight matchups. While Bellato is dangerous early, Stirling's combination of youth, reach, and defensive prowess gives him the edge.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Navajo Stirling vs Rodolfo Bellato can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Ulberg vs Reyes can be found on the Ulberg vs Reyes event page.