Winner: Dusko Todorovic
Confidence Score: 70Dusko Todorovic is the more proven UFC veteran with a higher significant strike accuracy (57% vs 37%) and a greater history of first-round finishes. While both fighters have similar knockout power and finishing ability, Todorovic is more accurate and experienced at this level. Medina's takedown defense is notably weak (31%), and his striking accuracy is low for a boxer, which could make him vulnerable to Todorovic's pressure and volume. Although Todorovic has struggled with knockout losses, Medina has not shown the same level of striking defense or UFC experience to fully exploit that weakness. Historically, fighters with Todorovic's profile—decent size, high output, and UFC experience—tend to win against debuting or less-tested opponents with similar stat profiles. The pick is not higher due to Todorovic's recent losses and potential chin concerns, but stylistically and statistically, he is favored.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Jose Daniel Medina vs Dusko Todorovic can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Lopes vs Silva can be found on the Lopes vs Silva event page.