Winner: Jesus Aguilar
Confidence Score: 68Jesus Aguilar has a significant edge in grappling and submission skills, as shown by his 7 submission wins and higher takedown accuracy (35% vs 17%). He also finishes fights faster (8:12 avg fight time vs 10:57), suggesting a more aggressive and effective style. While Luis Gurule has a strong record and striking stats, his takedown defense is only 50%, which is a weakness against Aguilar's submission-heavy approach. Aguilar's experience in the UFC and his ability to secure early finishes give him the edge in this stylistic matchup, especially since fighters with high submission win rates tend to succeed against opponents with average takedown defense in recent flyweight UFC history.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Jesus Aguilar vs Luis Gurule can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Lopes vs Silva can be found on the Lopes vs Silva event page.