Winner: Xiao Long
Confidence Score: 68Xiao Long holds significant advantages in striking, reach, and experience. He is younger (26 vs 29), has a longer arm (70" vs 65") and leg reach (37" vs 36"), and a much deeper professional record (27-8 vs 15-3). His striking accuracy (50%) is notably higher than SuYoung You's (44%), and he has more first-round finishes and overall finishes. While SuYoung You has better takedown accuracy (56% vs 25%) and slightly higher submission win rate, Xiao Long's takedown defense (77%) should allow him to keep the fight standing, where his reach, volume, and accuracy can control the pace. Historically, fighters with such a reach and striking edge in the bantamweight division win a majority of these matchups, especially when they are the younger, more experienced athlete. Xiao Long's recent performances and his style matchup point to him outstriking and outpointing SuYoung You, possibly winning by decision or late finish.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Xiao Long vs SuYoung You can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Walker vs Zhang can be found on the Walker vs Zhang event page.