Winner: Merab Dvalishvili
Confidence Score: 68Merab Dvalishvili is an elite pace wrestler with a relentless style, boasting one of the highest takedown rates and best takedown defense in the division (83%). He has a proven track record of neutralizing dynamic strikers and long fighters, as seen in his wins over Petr Yan and Jose Aldo, both of whom struggled with his pressure and chain wrestling. While Cory Sandhagen has a significant reach and striking advantage, as well as a diverse offensive arsenal, he has historically struggled against high-output wrestlers (e.g., Aljamain Sterling). Merab's cardio and ability to maintain a grueling pace for five rounds is a rare asset at bantamweight, and his recent form as champion indicates continued improvement. Statistically, fighters with Merab's wrestling volume, defense, and championship experience win a majority of similar stylistic matchups, especially when they can dictate the range and tempo. Although Sandhagen's striking and footwork make him a live threat, the edge goes to Merab based on the stylistic and statistical trends.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Merab Dvalishvili vs Cory Sandhagen can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Ankalaev vs Pereira 2 can be found on the Ankalaev vs Pereira 2 event page.