Winner: Jiri Prochazka
Confidence Score: 72Jiri Prochazka's overall finishing ability, experience, and unique striking style give him the edge in this matchup. He has a significant edge in both significant strike accuracy (56% vs. 41%) and finishing rate (27 KOs, 3 subs, 23 first-round finishes). His arm and leg reach advantages (80" arm, 45" leg) will help him control the range against Rountree, whose main weapon is his power. While Rountree is dangerous early and coming off a big win, his takedown defense (59%) and lack of submission wins make him vulnerable to Prochazka's unpredictability and diverse attack. Historically, fighters with Jiri's reach, finishing rate, and dynamic style have a higher win percentage in main card light heavyweight matchups. Jiri's recent strength of schedule and ability to finish elite opponents further support this pick, though Rountree's KO threat keeps the confidence below 80.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Jiri Prochazka vs Khalil Rountree Jr. can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Ankalaev vs Pereira 2 can be found on the Ankalaev vs Pereira 2 event page.