Winner: Benoit Saint Denis
Confidence Score: 67Benoit Saint Denis has a more proven and well-rounded skill set at the UFC level, with a strong grappling base (10 submission wins, 40% takedown accuracy) and a high finishing rate (7 first-round finishes). While he is coming off a loss to Dustin Poirier, his previous UFC run included dominant wins and he has a deeper UFC resume than Mauricio Ruffy, who is still relatively new to the promotion despite his impressive knockout rate (11 KOs in 12 wins) and recent first-round KO of Bobby Green. Ruffy's striking is dangerous and he boasts a significant reach advantage, but his lack of ground game (0% takedown accuracy, no submission wins) and inexperience against UFC-level grapplers are concerns. Historically, fighters with Saint Denis' grappling and submission profile have a higher win rate over pure strikers with little takedown offense or submission threat, especially when the grappler is more experienced at the UFC level. This matchup is competitive, but Saint Denis' ability to mix it up and his proven durability give him the edge.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Benoit Saint Denis vs Mauricio Ruffy can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Imavov vs Borralho can be found on the Imavov vs Borralho event page.