Winner: Ibo Aslan
Confidence Score: 62Ibo Aslan is the pick due to his explosive finishing ability (14 KOs in 14 wins, with 12 first-round finishes), higher significant strike defense (63% vs. 52%), and superior takedown defense (83% vs. 69%). Both fighters are pure strikers with similar size, but Aslan is more dangerous early and has proven power at Light Heavyweight. Junior Tafa is a skilled kickboxer with a slight edge in striking accuracy (51% vs. 50%), but his record (6-4) and lower defensive metrics suggest he is more hittable and less consistent. Historically, fighters with Aslan's profile—high KO rates, strong defense, and the ability to finish early—win a majority of similar matchups in this division. However, Aslan is coming off a decision loss, and Tafa has a puncher's chance, so the pick is not overwhelmingly confident.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Junior Tafa vs Ibo Aslan can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Ulberg vs Reyes can be found on the Ulberg vs Reyes event page.