Winner: Joe Pyfer
Confidence Score: 65Joe Pyfer has shown more consistent finishing ability and explosiveness in recent UFC bouts, with 9 knockouts and a high percentage of first-round finishes. He is younger (28 vs 34), and fighters in the middleweight division in their late 20s historically have a higher win rate over those in their mid-30s, especially when both are unranked or lower-ranked. While Abus Magomedov possesses a reach advantage and strong takedown defense, his recent performances show inconsistency against top-15 opposition and he has struggled with pressure and pace in later rounds. Pyfer's 60% takedown defense and power striking make him a stylistic threat to Magomedov, who tends to fade if not successful early. The combination of youth, knockout power, and recent form gives Pyfer the edge, but Magomedov's experience and grappling keep this from being a high-confidence pick.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Abus Magomedov vs Joe Pyfer can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Ankalaev vs Pereira 2 can be found on the Ankalaev vs Pereira 2 event page.