Winner: Yizha
Confidence Score: 82Yizha holds several statistical and stylistic advantages in this matchup. He is younger (28 vs 34), which is significant in featherweight bouts where younger fighters win at a higher rate, especially when paired with a higher output and better defensive metrics. Yizha has a superior significant strike accuracy (44% vs 33%) and defense (47% vs 31%), indicating he lands more and absorbs less. His takedown defense (54% vs 33%) and takedown accuracy (30% vs 17%) are both better than Wilson's, which is crucial since Wilson is a BJJ specialist but struggles to get fights to the ground. Wilson’s striking defense and overall durability are concerns, as he has been finished in the first round in both of his recent UFC losses. Yizha has a longer average fight time, suggesting he is comfortable in deeper waters, and his record (25-5) is more proven than Wilson’s (17-9). Historically, fighters with Yizha’s profile—better striking stats, younger age, and solid takedown defense—win a large majority of similar UFC featherweight matchups. Recent form and the matchup of Yizha's striking against Wilson's porous defense make Yizha the clear pick.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Yizha vs Westin Wilson can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Walker vs Zhang can be found on the Walker vs Zhang event page.