Winner: Steve Erceg
Confidence Score: 78Steve Erceg has a more well-rounded MMA skillset with a strong grappling base and better submission ability (6 submission wins vs Osbourne's 4). Statistically, Erceg has a higher significant strike accuracy (46% vs 41%), better significant strike defense (52% vs 46%), and similar takedown defense (64% vs 65%). Erceg's average fight time is much longer, showing he can maintain pace and composure into later rounds, while Osbourne tends to fade in longer fights. Osbourne has struggled against high-level grapplers and submission artists, as seen in his recent losses by submission. Erceg is younger (29 vs 33), which historically gives a slight edge in this division, and his recent performances show more consistency against ranked opposition. Overall, Erceg's ability to mix striking and grappling, paired with Osbourne's vulnerability to submissions, makes him the favored pick.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Steve Erceg vs Ode Osbourne can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Dolidze vs Hernandez can be found on the Dolidze vs Hernandez event page.