Fiorot vs Jasudavicius Preview: Odds, Stats & AI Pick

Manon Fiorot vs Jasmine Jasudavicius fight analysis

Event Overview

The highly anticipated Women’s Flyweight showdown between Manon Fiorot and Jasmine Jasudavicius is set to light up Rogers Arena in Vancouver, British Columbia, on Saturday, October 18, 2025. As part of the Main Card of UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs Allen, this clash is scheduled to begin at 19:00 local time (23:00 UTC), promising an electrifying atmosphere in one of Canada’s premier MMA venues.

• Event: UFC Fight Night – de Ridder vs Allen
• Date: October 18, 2025
• Venue: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, BC, Canada
• Card Placement: Main Card, Featured Flyweight Bout

Betting Lines & Title Implications

Heading into this pivotal contest, the French karate standout Manon Fiorot enters as the clear favorite, with BetOnline.ag listing her at -220 and FanDuel at -200. Holding the #2 rank in the Women’s Flyweight division (and currently situated at #4 in Sherdog’s pound-for-pound list), Fiorot is widely expected to use her superior striking artillery and eight first-round finishes to maintain her ascent toward title contention.

On the other side, Canada’s own Jasmine Jasudavicius, riding a resurgence after her stunning first-round submission of former champion Jessica Andrade in May, is pegged as the underdog. Her odds sit at +185 (BetOnline.ag) and +154 (FanDuel), reflecting both her explosive grappling prowess and the uphill battle she faces against a more polished striker. Ranked #5 in the division, Jasudavicius aims to capitalize on that submission threat and prove she belongs among the elite.

Why This Fight Matters

1. Positioning for a Title Shot: A win for Fiorot would solidify her claim as the top challenger to the reigning champion, while Jasudavicius could catapult herself into the immediate title conversation with a signature upset.
2. Styles Make Fights: Fiorot’s karate-based striking—marked by a 54% significant strike accuracy—will be tested against Jasudavicius’s grappling fundamentals and 45% takedown accuracy. This classic striker-versus-grappler dynamic adds strategic intrigue.
3. Momentum & Confidence: Both fighters will carry momentum from recent wins (with Fiorot having rebounded from her only two career losses to high-level opponents and Jasudavicius riding a three-fight win streak), setting the stage for a high-octane battle of wills.

As fight night approaches, all eyes will be on Rogers Arena to witness whether Fiorot can continue her calculated march toward championship gold or if Jasudavicius will pull off the upset of the year in front of her home-country crowd. Expect fireworks, tactical adjustments, and a defining chapter in the Women’s Flyweight division.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Manon Fiorot vs Jasmine Jasudavicius can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for de Ridder vs Allen can be found on the de Ridder vs Allen event page.

Matchup & Individual Profiles

Manon Fiorot – “The Beast”

Age: 35 | Country: France | Fighting Style: Karate / Striker
Record: 12–2–0 | Height / Reach: 67" / 65" (arms) / 38" (legs)

Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)

• May 10, 2025 – Loss to Valentina Shevchenko (Decision – Unanimous, 5R)
• Mar. 30, 2024 – Win over Erin Blanchfield (Decision – Unanimous, 5R)
• Sep. 2, 2023 – Win over Rose Namajunas (Decision – Unanimous, 3R)
• Oct. 22, 2022 – Win over Katlyn Cerminara (Decision – Unanimous, 3R)
• Mar. 26, 2022 – Win over Jennifer Maia (Decision – Unanimous, 3R)

Strengths

• Striking Efficiency: Fiorot boasts a 54% significant strike accuracy, one of the highest in the division. Her karate base delivers precise counters and powerful kicks that consistently damage opponents.
• Finishing Power: With 8 first-round finishes and 8 KOs in 12 UFC wins, she threatens to end fights early. Her average fight time (13:42) hides a killer instinct in opening rounds.
• Durability: Her 50% significant strike defense indicates she weathers pressure, staying composed under fire.

Vulnerabilities

• Grappling Defense: A 61% takedown defense rate suggests she can be taken down by savvy wrestlers or grapplers who chain level changes.
• Submission Game: Zero wins by submission point to a potential weakness on the ground; she relies heavily on stand-up exchanges.
• Cardio in Deep Waters: Against elite competition (e.g., Shevchenko), her output dips in championship rounds, indicating room for improvement in five-round endurance.

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Jasmine Jasudavicius – “Firecracker”

Age: 36 | Country: Canada | Fighting Style: Brawler / Grappler
Record: 14–3–0 | Height / Reach: 67" / 68" (arms) / 38" (legs)

Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)

• May 10, 2025 – Win over Jessica Andrade (Submission – Arm-Triangle, R1, 2:40)
• Feb. 1, 2025 – Loss to Mayra Bueno Silva (Decision – Split, 3R)
• Nov. 2, 2024 – Win over Ariane Lipski (Submission – Rear Naked Choke, R3, 2:28)
• Jul. 13, 2024 – Win over Fatima Kline (Decision – Unanimous, 3R)
• Jan. 20, 2024 – Win over Priscila Cachoeira (Submission – Guillotine, R3, 4:21)

Strengths

• Grappling & Submissions: A 45% takedown accuracy paired with 4 submission wins makes Jasudavicius a constant threat to drag striking specialists to the mat.
• Takedown Defense: At 75%, she stuffs a high percentage of incoming shots, turning defensive positions into counter-grappling opportunities.
• Cardio & Durability: Her 51% strike defense and near–14-minute average fight time show that she thrives in deep waters, often pulling away in late rounds.

Vulnerabilities

• Striking Precision: A 46% significant strike accuracy lags behind top strikers; she can struggle to land high-impact shots from range.
• Power Deficit: With just 2 KOs, she lacks one-punch knockout power and may need to grind opponents down rather than finish quickly.
• Age Factor: At 36, she may face a slight decline in reflexes and recovery speed against younger, explosive strikers like Fiorot.

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This clash pits Fiorot’s elite striking against Jasudavicius’s grappling pedigree. Fiorot will look to keep the fight upright and unleash precision strikes, while Jasudavicius aims to close distance, secure takedowns, and impose her ground game. The stylistic contrast and statistical match-ups make this Women’s Flyweight bout a true chess match inside the Octagon.

Betting Odds & Line History

Current Betting Odds

Heading into UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs Allen, the moneylines for Manon Fiorot and Jasmine Jasudavicius show a clear favorite and a live underdog:

• Manon Fiorot (Favorite)

  • BetOnline.ag: –220
  • FanDuel: –200

• Jasmine Jasudavicius (Underdog)

  • BetOnline.ag: +185
  • FanDuel: +154

Fiorot’s negative odds indicate she’s the betting favorite; you’d need to risk more than you stand to win. Jasudavicius sits firmly in underdog territory, offering juicy returns for those backing the Canadian grappler.

Line Movement & Trends

Tracking the line swings over the past week reveals notable shifts:

• October 4:

  • Fiorot opened at –185 (BetOnline)
  • Jasudavicius opened at +160 (BetOnline)

• October 5:

  • Fiorot moved to –210 (BetOnline)
  • Jasudavicius drifted to +180 (BetOnline)

• October 6 (Latest):

  • Fiorot: –200 (FanDuel)
  • Jasudavicius: +154 (FanDuel)

Key takeaways:

1. Sharps on Fiorot: Heavy action on Fiorot pushed her line from –185 to –210, reflecting confidence in her striking prowess and top-two divisional status.
2. Underdog Drift: Jasudavicius’s line softened from +160 to +180 before settling at +154, suggesting alternate books (like FanDuel) adjusted to attract money on her upset potential.
3. Line Consolidation: FanDuel’s current lines (-200 / +154) present a slight edge to bettors compared to BetOnline’s -220 / +185, especially for those backing Fiorot.

Payout Scenarios & Implied Chances

If you plunk down $1,000 today:

• Betting Fiorot at –200 (FanDuel):
  – You’d risk $1,000 to win $500, for a total payout of $1,500.
  – Implied win probability: ~67%

• Betting Jasudavicius at +185 (BetOnline):
  – You’d risk $1,000 to win $1,850, for a total payout of $2,850.
  – Implied win probability: ~35%

Best Sportsbook to Bet On

• For Favorites (Fiorot): FanDuel’s –200 line is superior to BetOnline’s –220, offering better potential payout on the French striker.
• For Underdogs (Jasudavicius): BetOnline’s +185 line outshines FanDuel’s +154, maximizing returns if you believe in the Canadian’s grappling game.

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Whether you back the technical striker in Fiorot or the submission-savvy Jasudavicius, the odds tell a story of confidence versus contrarian value. Monitor line movements right up to fight time—sharp money and late-breaking news can nudge these lines further. Choose your side, lock in the best line, and get ready for a pivotal Women’s Flyweight battle.