Winner: Michel Pereira
Confidence Score: 72Michel Pereira is favored due to his well-rounded, explosive striking and improved grappling. He has a significant edge in finishing ability with 11 KO wins and 14 first-round finishes compared to Kyle Daukaus's 0 KO wins. Pereira's takedown defense (76%) is strong enough to limit Daukaus's main path to victory (submissions), especially considering Daukaus's low takedown accuracy (26%). Pereira also lands at a high clip (52% significant strike accuracy) and defends strikes better (52% vs. Daukaus's 42%). While Daukaus has a slight reach and grappling edge, his recent form is poor (4 losses in last 5, 3 by KO/TKO), and fighters with similar stat profiles to Pereira—athletic strikers with good takedown defense—have historically performed well against submission specialists with low striking defense. Recent web results show Pereira is on an upward trajectory, while Daukaus has struggled with durability and adapting to higher-level competition.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Michel Pereira vs Kyle Daukaus can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Walker vs Zhang can be found on the Walker vs Zhang event page.