Winner: Karine Silva
Confidence Score: 72Karine Silva has a significant edge in finishing ability and experience at the UFC level. She boasts 13 first-round finishes and a very high finishing rate overall, with 9 knockouts and 8 submissions in 18 wins. Her aggressive Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu style and 50% takedown accuracy make her a threat both on the feet and on the ground. While her takedown defense is statistically low (0%), her offensive grappling and submission threat have neutralized many opponents. Dione Barbosa is a strong grappler with a solid submission game, but her UFC experience is limited and her takedown defense (43%) is a potential liability against a strong finisher like Silva. Historically, fighters with Silva's finishing profile, UFC experience, and ranking advantage have a strong win rate in similar women's flyweight matchups. Additionally, Silva's superior arm reach and recent form against higher-level competition give her the edge.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Karine Silva vs Dione Barbosa can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Du Plessis vs Chimaev can be found on the Du Plessis vs Chimaev event page.