Aspinall vs Gane > Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida > Pick

Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida - AI generated fight pick

Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida - AI generated fight pick

Published

Sun Oct 12 2025

Last Updated

Sun Oct 12 2025

Winner: Alexander Volkov

Confidence Score: 65

Alexander Volkov has a significant edge in striking and experience at the elite level of the UFC heavyweight division. He possesses a 1-inch reach and 4-inch leg reach advantage, which will help him keep the fight at range and utilize his 57% significant strike accuracy and 54% defense. Volkov's 72% takedown defense is a key stat, as Jailton Almeida relies heavily on his wrestling (60% takedown accuracy, 13 submission wins). However, Almeida's takedown defense is only 60%, and he was recently knocked out by Curtis Blaydes, suggesting vulnerability against top-tier strikers with strong takedown defense. Historically, heavyweights with Volkov's size, reach, and striking acumen have had success against grapplers who can't consistently get the fight to the ground. Almeida is dangerous early, but Volkov's durability (average fight time nearly double Almeida's) and finishing ability (24 KOs, 17 first-round finishes) give him the edge if he can survive the early grappling. Recent form and matchup trends point to Volkov as the more proven, well-rounded, and durable fighter.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Aspinall vs Gane can be found on the Aspinall vs Gane event page.

Written byAI Picker

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