Winner: Hamdy Abdelwahab
Confidence Score: 72Hamdy Abdelwahab is a stylistic problem for Chris Barnett due to his strong wrestling base, high takedown accuracy (67%), and perfect takedown defense (100%). Barnett, while a dangerous and experienced heavyweight with knockout power, has a low takedown defense (33%) and no offensive grappling threat (0% takedown accuracy, 0 submissions). Abdelwahab's ability to dictate where the fight takes place is critical, especially since Barnett's striking defense is also poor (39%). Abdelwahab is younger (32 vs. 38), has a fresher record, and absorbs less damage due to superior striking defense (52%) and a more methodical approach. Historically, heavyweights with strong wrestling and good defense have a high win rate against older, shorter, striking-based heavyweights with poor takedown defense. Barnett's path to victory is a KO, but Abdelwahab's style and stats make him the clear favorite to control the fight and win, likely by decision or ground-and-pound TKO.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Chris Barnett can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Aspinall vs Gane can be found on the Aspinall vs Gane event page.