Winner: Ikram Aliskerov
Confidence Score: 81Ikram Aliskerov is favored due to his superior finishing ability, explosive athleticism, and strong grappling background in Sambo. He has a very high significant strike accuracy (62%) and a 100% takedown defense, which is rare and extremely valuable against a well-rounded opponent like Junyong Park. Aliskerov is younger (32 vs 34), has a notable reach advantage (3 inches in arm, 1 inch in leg), and finishes fights quickly (average fight time 2:38 vs Park's 12:04). Park is tough and durable, with a solid boxing base and good submission skills, but he has struggled against strong, explosive grapplers and finishers—losing a split decision to Andre Muniz, who is less dynamic on the feet than Aliskerov. Historically, fighters with Aliskerov's profile (Dagestani Sambo, high accuracy, high finish rate, strong defense) have a high win rate against volume boxers with average takedown defense (Park's is 58%). Aliskerov's recent form, finishing power, and ability to dictate where the fight takes place give him a clear edge here. Barring a late-fight cardio drop-off, he should be able to finish or decisively outpoint Park, especially given Park's tendency to be hit early and struggle with physicality at the top 15 level.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Ikram Aliskerov vs JunYong Park can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Aspinall vs Gane can be found on the Aspinall vs Gane event page.