Winner: Kevin Holland
Confidence Score: 75Kevin Holland is the more proven UFC talent with a significant experience edge, having fought top-tier competition and maintaining a #15 ranking in the welterweight division. He boasts a massive 8-inch reach advantage (81" vs 73") over Mike Malott, which historically correlates with a higher win rate in striking-heavy matchups. Holland's striking metrics are slightly better (50% accuracy vs 48%), and he has a higher volume of finishes (23 in total, 14 by KO/TKO). While Malott is a dangerous finisher early, Holland has faced and beaten higher-level opposition, and his takedown defense (55%) is adequate to neutralize Malott's grappling, especially since Malott's takedown defense is very weak (17%), making him vulnerable to Holland's offensive wrestling if needed. Holland's recent form has been solid, and his experience against a more diverse set of elite opponents gives him the edge. Overall, the stylistic matchup, reach, experience, and proven durability make Holland the safer, more data-supported pick.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Kevin Holland vs Mike Malott can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for de Ridder vs Allen can be found on the de Ridder vs Allen event page.