Winner: Montel Jackson
Confidence Score: 65Montel Jackson has a significant physical advantage at bantamweight, with a 5-inch height, 7.5-inch reach, and 3-inch leg reach edge over Deiveson Figueiredo. Jackson is younger (33 vs 37), has a higher significant strike defense (63% vs 49%), and much better takedown defense (68% vs 58%) and takedown accuracy (63% vs 35%). Jackson is on a five-fight win streak, including dominant first-round KOs and decisions over solid competition. Figueiredo, while a former flyweight champion and dangerous with both submissions and power, is now fighting bigger, longer, and younger opponents at bantamweight, where his wrestling and physicality are less dominant. Historically, fighters with Jackson's size and defensive stats in this division have a strong win rate over smaller, older, ex-flyweights. While Figueiredo's experience and finishing ability make him live, the stylistic and statistical edges favor Jackson to control the fight and outpoint or possibly finish Figueiredo.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Deiveson Figueiredo vs Montel Jackson can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Oliveira vs Gamrot can be found on the Oliveira vs Gamrot event page.