Winner: Vitor Petrino
Confidence Score: 65Vitor Petrino has a slight edge due to his youth, greater athletic upside, and more diverse striking arsenal. He has a longer reach (arm: 77.5" vs 74", leg: 42.5" vs 40"), which is a notable advantage in heavyweight striking exchanges. Petrino's record (12-2) is slightly better, and he has a similar number of finishes as Petersen, with 7 KOs and 5 first-round finishes. While Petersen has slightly better striking accuracy (60% vs 45%) and takedown defense (100% vs 71%), Petrino has faced a broader range of competition and has shown the ability to finish fights quickly or win decisions. Historically, fighters with Petrino's reach and youth advantage in the heavyweight division have a higher win rate. Petersen is tough and has power, but his defense is less tested at higher levels, and his losses (including a KO/TKO loss to Shamil Gaziev) suggest he can be vulnerable to dynamic strikers like Petrino. The pick is not extremely confident due to Petersen's takedown accuracy and grit, but the physical and stylistic advantages lean towards Petrino.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Vitor Petrino vs Thomas Petersen can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Oliveira vs Gamrot can be found on the Oliveira vs Gamrot event page.