Winner: Stephanie Luciano
Confidence Score: 65Stephanie Luciano holds a notable edge in defensive metrics, with a 61% significant strike defense and 81% takedown defense, both superior to Ravena Oliveira's 49% and 63%, respectively. Luciano is also younger (25 vs 28), has a slight height and reach advantage, and her Muay Thai style is typically effective in neutralizing pure strikers like Oliveira. Both fighters have similar recent records and the same average fight time, but Luciano's defensive profile and ability to avoid damage and takedowns are historically strong indicators of success in closely matched women's strawweight fights. Oliveira's higher finishing rate is a concern, but Luciano's ability to go the distance and her superior defense give her the edge in a likely decision.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Stephanie Luciano vs Ravena Oliveira can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for de Ridder vs Allen can be found on the de Ridder vs Allen event page.