Charles Jourdain vs Davey Grant: UFC Betting Odds & Analysis

# Charles Jourdain vs Davey Grant fight analysis

## Introduction

On **Saturday, October 18, 2025**, fight fans will be treated to an intriguing **Bantamweight** showdown on the **Preliminary Card** of **UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs Allen** at the **Rogers Arena** in **Vancouver, British Columbia**. The bout between **Charles Jourdain** (16-8-1) and **Davey Grant** (17-7-0) is scheduled to begin at **8:00 PM UTC**, serving as an early litmus test for both men to make a statement in one of the deepest divisions in the UFC.

Despite neither fighter being fresh off a title run, this matchup carries significant implications for the division rankings and potential high-profile opportunities in 2026. **Charles Jourdain**, the 29-year-old Canadian striker, enters this contest riding a bit of momentum after his submission victory over Victor Henry in November 2024. Jourdain’s **8 knockouts**, **6 submissions**, and **5 first-round finishes** underscore his finishing ability, and his **49% significant strike accuracy** makes him a dangerous stand-up threat. Originally installed as the favorite with **opening odds of –200**, Jourdain has seen his price tighten to **–110** across top books, reflecting bettors’ respect for his finishing prowess but also acknowledging the challenge posed by his veteran opponent.

On the opposite corner stands England’s own **Davey Grant**, a 39-year-old MMA veteran who boasts an impressive **9 submission victories** and remarkable resilience throughout his 17-win career. Grant’s most recent outings include back-to-back unanimous decision wins over Ramon Taveras and Damon Blackshear, highlighting his ability to maintain pace and secure the win across three rounds. With **56% significant strike defense** and **63% takedown defense**, Grant has proven time and again that he can frustrate aggressive opponents and weather early storms. Although he opened as the underdog at **+170**, Grant’s odds have shifted steadily in his favor, now matching Jourdain at **–110**, which effectively turns this into a true 50/50 coin-flip for sharp bettors.

This bout promises a clash of styles: the explosive, forward-pressure striking of **Jourdain** against the technical savvy and endurance of **Grant**. Jourdain will look to establish his jab and mix in leg kicks to limit Grant’s forward movement, while Grant will aim to capitalize on any overextensions and drag the fight into deeper water where his cardio and grappling acumen can shine.

In this **fight analysis**, we will break down:

- **Key striking metrics** and how they favor Jourdain’s volume-forward style  
- **Grappling exchanges** where Grant’s defensive wrestling could tilt the balance  
- **Tactical pathways** each fighter can exploit based on historical trends  
- **Betting angles** to consider now that the odds have converged  

Whether you’re wagering on the live lines or simply sharpening your MMA IQ, this breakdown will equip you with the insights needed to navigate one of the most evenly matched contests on the Vancouver card. Let’s dive deeper into the strengths, weaknesses, and intangible factors that will determine who emerges victorious in this captivating Bantamweight duel.  

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Charles Jourdain vs Davey Grant can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for de Ridder vs Allen can be found on the de Ridder vs Allen event page.

## Matchup & Fighter Profiles

As Charles Jourdain and Davey Grant prepare to clash this October in Vancouver, their contrasting backgrounds and complementary skill sets make this Bantamweight bout a fascinating study in styles. Below we break down each athlete’s profile, recent form, and the statistical strengths and weaknesses that will determine the outcome.

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### Charles Jourdain – “Air”  
**Age:** 29  
**Country:** Canada  
**Fighting Style:** Striker  

**Recent Form (Last 5 Fights):**  
- **Nov. 2, 2024:** Win vs. Victor Henry – Submission (R2, 3:43)  
- **Jun. 29, 2024:** Loss vs. Jean Silva Lord – KO/TKO (R2, 1:22)  
- **Jan. 20, 2024:** Loss vs. Sean Woodson – Decision (Split)  
- **Sep. 23, 2023:** Win vs. Ricardo Ramos – Submission (R1, 3:12)  
- **May 6, 2023:** Win vs. Kron Gracie – Decision (Unanimous)  

**Statistical Snapshot:**  
- Record: 16-8-1  
- Knockouts: 8 | Submissions: 6 | 1st-Round Finishes: 5  
- Avg. Fight Time: 11:51  
- Sig. Strike Accuracy: 49% | Sig. Strike Defense: 57%  
- Takedown Accuracy: 21% | Takedown Defense: 47%  

**Strengths:**  
- **Striking Efficiency:** Landing nearly half of his significant strikes, Jourdain pressures opponents with crisp combinations and body‐head mix.  
- **Finishing Instinct:** Six submission victories and eight KOs show comfort in multiple domains, especially in dangerous scramble situations.  
- **Pace & Durability:** An average fight time just under 12 minutes and a solid striking defense (57%) underscore his ability to push the action and withstand counters.  

**Weaknesses:**  
- **Wrestling Defense:** A sub-50% takedown defense indicates vulnerability to persistent grapplers who can force extended ground exchanges.  
- **Grappling Output:** With only 21% takedown accuracy, Jourdain struggles to initiate wrestling offensives, relying primarily on stand-up.  
- **Inconsistency:** Back-to-back losses in early 2024 hint at lapses in defense and possible overextension when chasing finishes.  

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### Davey Grant – “Dangerous”  
**Age:** 39  
**Country:** England  
**Fighting Style:** MMA All-Around  

**Recent Form (Last 5 Fights):**  
- **Jul. 26, 2025:** Win vs. Damon Blackshear – Decision (Unanimous)  
- **Dec. 14, 2024:** Win vs. Ramon Taveras – Decision (Unanimous)  
- **Jul. 22, 2023:** Loss vs. Daniel Marcos – Decision (Split)  
- **Mar. 11, 2023:** Win vs. Raphael Assunção – Submission (R3, 4:43)  
- **May 14, 2022:** Win vs. Louis Smolka – KO/TKO (R3, 0:49)  

**Statistical Snapshot:**  
- Record: 17-7-0  
- Knockouts: 4 | Submissions: 9 | 1st-Round Finishes: 7  
- Avg. Fight Time: 12:18  
- Sig. Strike Accuracy: 45% | Sig. Strike Defense: 56%  
- Takedown Accuracy: 40% | Takedown Defense: 63%  

**Strengths:**  
- **Grappling Prowess:** Nine submission wins and a 40% takedown rate allow Grant to dictate where the fight goes—especially dangerous in clinch and ground phases.  
- **Defensive Wrestling:** A 63% takedown defense frustrates wrestle-heavy foes and forces stand-up brawls on Grant’s terms.  
- **Veteran Savvy:** Nearly 25 fights in the UFC, with strong cardio and fight IQ, let him adapt mid-bout and exploit opponents’ mistakes.  

**Weaknesses:**  
- **Striking Output:** At 45% accuracy and fewer KOs, Grant can be out-landed by high‐volume strikers, especially early in exchanges.  
- **Age Factor:** At 39, reaction speed and recovery between high‐pace rounds may lag behind younger adversaries.  
- **Late-Fight Pressure:** While durable, Grant’s volume dips in championship rounds; aggressive finishers can capitalize in round three.  

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This head-to-head sets up a classic striker vs. grappler scenario. Jourdain’s pressure and finishing flair will collide with Grant’s wrestling acumen and veteran resilience. Analyzing the stats suggests that if Jourdain can keep the fight vertical and control range, he can impose his will. Conversely, Grant’s path to victory lies in neutralizing takedowns early, punishing any overreach, and dragging the bout into deeper waters where his championship‐round experience shines.  

## Odds & Line Movement

### Current Betting Odds  
- **Charles Jourdain:** –110 (BetOnline.ag)  
- **Davey Grant:** –110 (BetOnline.ag)  

As of October 7, 2025, both Charles Jourdain and Davey Grant sit at **–110** on the moneyline, effectively making this a coin-flip contest in the eyes of oddsmakers. That price tag means you must wager $110 to win $100, and indicates an implied win probability of roughly **52%** for each man. With identical lines, there is no clear underdog on fight night—though early money on Grant pushed him up from +170 into a dead-even spot, and correspondingly pulled Jourdain off his earlier heavy favorite perch.

For customers shopping around, **BetOnline.ag** currently offers the best available market for this bout. Their lines have shown deep liquidity and timely updates, and they remain one of the few books where you can still get Jourdain shorter than –110 or Grant any better than –110—albeit by single ticks as we close in.

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### Line History & Significant Swings  
- **Charles Jourdain** opened at **–200** on October 5, 2025, reflecting early sharp belief in his finishing upside and home-cage advantage. Within 24 hours, heavy action on the British veteran erased that gap, and by October 6 midday the line had shifted to –120, settling at –110 by October 7.  
- **Davey Grant** debuted as a **+170** underdog, a price point that enticed contrarian money on his grappling edge. The market then moved steadily toward Grant, dropping him to +155, +125, +100, then finally into the –110 range.  

These swings—over 270 cents for Grant and nearly 100 cents for Jourdain—signal two things: early public skew on the Canadian striker, and later respect for Grant’s seasoned wrestling and cardio. By the time both fighters locked in at –110, real money had balanced the books, making sharp action less lopsided and more reflective of a true 50/50 fight.

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### Betting Value & Payout Scenarios  
If you’re backing **Charles Jourdain** at –110 with a $1,000 wager, your total return would be approximately **$1,909**—that’s your original $1,000 stake plus $909 in profit. The same figures apply if you bet $1,000 on **Davey Grant** at –110: you’d collect about **$1,909** back, assuming a winning outcome.

While neither side offers an overwhelming edge at the current line, value bettors might:

- **Shop for half-point swings** (e.g., –105 vs. –115) across alternative books  
- **Monitor late money** in the 24 hours before the bell—any fresh leaks or injury news could tilt this even match  
- **Consider round-specific prop bets** if you believe Jourdain’s finishing rate or Grant’s cardio gives a definitive third-round edge  

In summary, the even moneyline underscores how evenly matched these bantamweights are. With **BetOnline.ag** posting the most competitive and liquid lines, it remains our top recommendation for wagering on this bout. Whether you’re backing the rising Canadian striker or the veteran English grappler, a $1,000 stake at –110 promises a tidy $909 profit if your pick survives all three rounds.