Winner: Drew Dober
Confidence Score: 75Drew Dober is the more proven UFC lightweight with significantly more high-level experience and a better history of performance against top competition. He has a clear power advantage with 15 KO wins and a higher significant strike accuracy (40% vs 36%) and defense (51% vs 49%). While both fighters are on losing streaks, Dober's losses have come against ranked or dangerous opponents, and he still shows finishing ability, as seen in his KO of Ricky Glenn. Kyle Prepolec, while a tough veteran, has a lower takedown defense (40%) and no takedown offense in the UFC, which means he is unlikely to exploit Dober's wrestling defense. Historically, fighters with Dober's profile—powerful, experienced, and aggressive strikers in their mid-30s—have a higher win rate in these matchups. Dober's durability and finishing threat make him the more likely winner.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Kyle Prepolec vs Drew Dober can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for de Ridder vs Allen can be found on the de Ridder vs Allen event page.