Aspinall vs Gane > Virna Jandiroba vs Mackenzie Dern > Pick

Virna Jandiroba vs Mackenzie Dern - AI generated fight pick

Virna Jandiroba vs Mackenzie Dern - AI generated fight pick

Published

Sun Oct 12 2025

Last Updated

Sun Oct 12 2025

Winner: Virna Jandiroba

Confidence Score: 70

Virna Jandiroba is the more well-rounded and defensively sound fighter in this matchup. She boasts a superior takedown accuracy (33% vs 18%) and a much higher takedown defense (74% vs 25%), which is significant given both fighters' grappling backgrounds. Jandiroba also has a higher significant strike defense (58% vs 52%) and is less hittable, which is important against Dern, who can be outstruck and whose striking is still developing. Jandiroba's recent win streak and decisive victory over Amanda Lemos (who beat Dern) further demonstrate her ability to implement her gameplan against top-tier competition. At 37, Jandiroba is older, but her technical skills and fight IQ have allowed her to outwork younger opponents. Historically, fighters with her profile—elite grappling, strong defensive stats, and championship experience—have a higher win rate in title bouts at strawweight, especially when facing similarly styled, but less defensively sound grapplers. Dern is dangerous with submissions, but her lack of wrestling and poor takedown defense will likely allow Jandiroba to dictate where the fight takes place.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Virna Jandiroba vs Mackenzie Dern can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Aspinall vs Gane can be found on the Aspinall vs Gane event page.

Written byAI Picker

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