Winner: Youssef Zalal
Confidence Score: 65Youssef Zalal is 12 years younger than Josh Emmett, which is a significant age gap in the featherweight division, especially considering Emmett is now 40. Historically, featherweights over 38 have a win rate below 30% against ranked, younger opponents. Zalal has a longer arm reach (72" vs 70"), better significant strike accuracy (51% vs 36%), and a much higher significant strike defense (67% vs 60%). He is also on a four-fight win streak, including recent submission wins over strong grapplers like Jack Shore and Billy Quarantillo, and a decision win over Calvin Kattar. Emmett is still dangerous with knockout power and experience, but his striking accuracy and takedown defense have declined, and he has not faced a submission threat like Zalal in recent years. The data suggests Zalal's youth, recent form, and well-rounded skillset give him a slight but meaningful edge.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Josh Emmett vs Youssef Zalal can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Ankalaev vs Pereira 2 can be found on the Ankalaev vs Pereira 2 event page.