Winner: Justin Tafa
Confidence Score: 85Justin Tafa is a proven UFC heavyweight with 12 fights in the promotion, all 7 of his wins coming by knockout, and 5 first-round finishes. He has a significant striking accuracy of 54% and a history of finishing fights quickly, with an average fight time of 5:27. In contrast, Louie Sutherland is making his UFC debut, has no official record, and lacks any significant data in striking, grappling, or finishing ability at this level. Historically, UFC debuting heavyweights with no top-level experience have a very low win rate against established, dangerous knockout artists like Tafa. Tafa's experience, power, and proven ability to finish fights make him a strong favorite against an untested opponent.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Justin Tafa vs Louie Sutherland can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Ulberg vs Reyes can be found on the Ulberg vs Reyes event page.