Winner: Islam Makhachev
Confidence Score: 87Islam Makhachev has an elite grappling pedigree, outstanding submission skills (13 wins by submission), and an exceptional takedown defense (91%). He has consistently beaten world-class competition, including Charles Oliveira, Alexander Volkanovski, and Dustin Poirier, showing he can handle high-level strikers and grapplers. His significant strike accuracy (59%) and defense (61%) are both excellent, and his ability to control where the fight takes place is unmatched. Jack Della Maddalena is a dangerous striker with a high knockout rate, but he has not faced the same caliber of grapplers or championship-level opposition. Historically, fighters with Makhachev's style, experience, and defensive metrics have a strong winning percentage against strikers with limited elite-level grappling experience, especially in title bouts. Makhachev's proven five-round cardio and ability to implement his game plan against top opposition make him the clear favorite.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Jack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Della Maddalena vs Makhachev can be found on the Della Maddalena vs Makhachev event page.
