Winner: Leon Edwards
Confidence Score: 74Leon Edwards has a proven track record at the elite level of the welterweight division, with a well-rounded MMA style that includes striking, grappling, and strong fight IQ. He matches Carlos Prates in significant strike accuracy (54%) but boasts a better significant strike defense (53% vs. 48%) and a much higher average fight time, indicating superior cardio and experience in five-round fights. While Prates is a dangerous striker with a high KO rate and a significant reach advantage (78" vs. 74"), his recent losses to top-10 competition (Geoff Neal, Ian Garry) show he struggles against versatile, defensively sound opponents. Edwards' ability to mix up his attacks, avoid big shots, and control the pace, combined with his experience in championship rounds, gives him a clear edge in this matchup. Historically, fighters with Edwards' profile—elite, well-rounded, defensively strong, and with proven main event stamina—win the majority of similar high-level welterweight matchups.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Leon Edwards vs Carlos Prates can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Della Maddalena vs Makhachev can be found on the Della Maddalena vs Makhachev event page.
