Winner: Kaue Fernandes
Confidence Score: 75Kaue Fernandes is the clear pick due to his proven UFC experience and strong finishing ability. He owns a 10-2 record with 6 KOs and 6 submissions, and has shown both knockout power and submission skills, with 8 first-round finishes. His recent UFC performances include a first-round KO win and a unanimous decision over Guram Kutateladze, a tough and experienced opponent, indicating he can compete at a high level. While his takedown stats are currently at 0%, his finishing ability and striking accuracy (50%) are notable. Conversely, Harry Hardwick is making his UFC debut and has no available UFC-level stats for striking, grappling, or defensive metrics. Historically, UFC debutants without major-league experience or statistical backing tend to struggle against established fighters with recent wins in the promotion. Additionally, fighters with similar profiles to Fernandes—age 30, 73-inch reach, and finishing ability—have a high win rate in debut matchups against newcomers. Unless Hardwick has a significant skill edge not reflected in the available data or recent regional form, Fernandes is the more reliable pick.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Harry Hardwick vs Kaue Fernandes can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Imavov vs Borralho can be found on the Imavov vs Borralho event page.