Winner: Daniil Donchenko
Confidence Score: 57This is a close matchup between two promising welterweight prospects, but Daniil Donchenko has a stronger record (12-2 vs. 9-1) and a higher knockout rate (8 KOs in 12 wins vs. 4 KOs in 9 wins for his opponent). Donchenko is also three years younger at 24, which historically is a key advantage in these prospect vs. prospect matchups. While both fighters are finishers, Donchenko's kickboxing base and history of first-round finishes (4) suggest he can dictate the striking exchanges. Sezinando has a slight reach advantage but is more of a generalist, while Donchenko's specialized striking and finishing ability give him the edge, especially considering the success rate of young, aggressive kickboxers making their UFC debut. However, the lack of UFC-level data on both and the similar finishing stats keep the confidence moderate.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Rodrigo Sezinando vs Daniil Donchenko can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Lopes vs Silva can be found on the Lopes vs Silva event page.