Winner: Rob Font
Confidence Score: 74Rob Font's experience and proven finishing ability at the elite level give him the edge over David Martinez. Font holds a significant reach advantage (4 inches arm, 1 inch leg), which historically correlates with higher striking success in the bantamweight division. He has a much deeper UFC resume, with 22 wins and 13 UFC finishes, and has shown the ability to compete with top-10 ranked fighters. While Martinez is undefeated with strong defensive stats (67% strike defense, 100% takedown defense), his UFC experience is limited to a single fight and he has yet to face a proven finisher like Font. Font's striking volume, accuracy, and ability to finish in the first round (9 first-round finishes) are notable, and similar veteran vs. newcomer matchups in the last 100 fights have favored the experienced, ranked fighter, especially when the veteran has a reach advantage and proven striking power. Font's only major concern is his age (38), but in recent UFC history, fighters in his age/experience bracket with his stats have still outperformed debutants with Martinez's profile.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Rob Font vs David Martinez can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Lopes vs Silva can be found on the Lopes vs Silva event page.