Winner: Quang Le
Confidence Score: 80Quang Le has a clear advantage in this matchup due to his UFC experience, proven grappling and submission skills, and a well-rounded record. He is 33 years old with a 9-2 record, 4 submission wins, 2 knockouts, and a 100% takedown defense. His recent win by submission over Gaston Bolanos and his ability to finish fights early (4 first-round finishes) highlight his finishing ability. His striking accuracy (38%) and defense (48%) are average, but his grappling is strong and he has not been taken down in the UFC. In contrast, Santiago Luna is 21, making his debut with no recorded pro stats, and there is no data on his reach, style, or prior competition level. Historically, UFC debutants aged 21 without high-level experience struggle against established fighters with strong grappling backgrounds. Le's experience, composure, and submission threat make him the justified favorite.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Santiago Luna vs Quang Le can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Lopes vs Silva can be found on the Lopes vs Silva event page.