Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola - AI generated fight pick

Kyle Nelson has several stylistic and statistical advantages in this matchup. He has a higher significant strike accuracy (46% vs 41%) and much better takedown defense (73% vs 36%), which is especially important against a brawler like Matt Frevola who often mixes in wrestling. Nelson also matches Frevola in arm reach and is taller, which can help him control range. While both fighters are 34 and have similar experience, Frevola's recent losses by KO/TKO and low takedown defense suggest he is vulnerable to Nelson's striking and ability to keep the fight standing. Historically, fighters with Nelson's combination of height, reach, and defensive grappling have had the edge against brawlers with poor takedown defense. Additionally, Nelson's Jiu-Jitsu background could be a factor if the fight goes to the mat, as he has a higher submission win count and better submission defense. While both have had mixed recent results, the data and matchup advantages favor Nelson.