Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen - AI generated fight pick

Reinier de Ridder holds several key advantages in this matchup. He has a superior reach (78" arm vs. 75" for Allen), greater height, and a strong submission game (13 submission wins vs. 14 for Allen, but with a higher level of competition in recent bouts). Both fighters have similar significant strike accuracy (53%), but de Ridder displays better strike defense (50% vs. Allen's 48%) and notably better takedown defense (67% vs. Allen's 57%). De Ridder's recent wins over elite grapplers and his ability to finish fights via submission or ground control are important, especially considering Allen's losses to strong wrestlers and grapplers (e.g., Anthony Hernandez and Nassourdine Imavov). Allen is younger and has a higher takedown accuracy, but his defensive liabilities against top-tier grapplers have been exposed. Historically, fighters with de Ridder's size, grappling acumen, and defensive stats win at a higher rate in similar stylistic matchups. This, combined with de Ridder's recent form and upward trajectory, makes him the more probable winner, though Allen's youth and finishing ability keep the confidence moderate.