Winner: Erin Blanchfield
Confidence Score: 75Erin Blanchfield holds notable advantages in this matchup. She is five years younger than Tracy Cortez, which, based on historical data, is a significant factor in women's flyweight, especially given Blanchfield's proven durability and pace. Blanchfield's grappling is elite, with 4 submission wins and 80% takedown defense, making her difficult to control or outgrapple. While Cortez has higher takedown accuracy (48% vs. 32%), Blanchfield's takedown defense is much superior (80% vs. 62%), and she has shown the ability to reverse or escape positions against high-level grapplers. Blanchfield's recent competition and victories have been against higher-ranked opponents, and she is more active in finishing fights (3 first-round finishes, 6 combined KO/sub wins). Cortez has lost her last two fights and has a lower finishing rate. Additionally, Blanchfield's striking defense (59%) and submission threat are higher than Cortez's, and her average fight time is shorter, indicating greater efficiency. Overall, the combination of youth, grappling advantage, recent form, and higher finishing ability makes Blanchfield the favorite.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Erin Blanchfield vs Tracy Cortez can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Della Maddalena vs Makhachev can be found on the Della Maddalena vs Makhachev event page.
