Angela Hill vs Fatima Kline fight analysis
Introduction
The Women’s Strawweight clash between Angela Hill and Fatima Kline is set to ignite the octagon on Saturday, November 15, 2025, as part of the Early Preliminary Card at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY. This bout kicks off at 11:00 PM ET during the stacked UFC 322 event headlined by Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev. With two very different resumes—and contrasting styles—this matchup promises fireworks inside one of the world’s most iconic arenas.
Fight Details at a Glance
- Event: UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs Makhachev
- Date & Time: November 15, 2025 · 11:00 PM ET (Early Prelims)
- Venue: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY, United States
- Weight Class: Women’s Strawweight (115 lb)
According to the latest odds from BetOnline.ag and Bovada, Fatima Kline enters as a heavy favorite at -410, while veteran striker Angela Hill is the underdog at +310. The gap in betting lines reflects Kline’s rapid rise through the division—she boasts an impressive 8–1–0 professional record with 50% striking accuracy and a 60% takedown success rate—against Hill’s seasoned 18–15–0 ledger and her reputation as a relentless Muay Thai artist.
Fatima Kline, a 25-year-old grappler hailing from Holbrook, United States, made her UFC debut just over a year ago in July 2024 and has since exploded onto the scene. She has already claimed two back-to-back knockout victories in 2025, showcasing her power and ground control. Fans and oddsmakers alike have taken note: Kline’s odds opened as low as -600 on October 29, briefly dipped to -450, and currently sit at -410, signaling sharp money on her continued dominance.
On the other side, Angela Hill, age 40 and ranked #12 in the strawweight division, brings nearly a decade of octagon experience and a decorated standup game. Since debuting in December 2014, Hill has thwarted opponents with crisp combinations and dogged cardio, though her recent record (two wins, three losses over her last five bouts) has tempered expectations. Hill’s durable chin and elite takedown defense (74%) give her a fighting chance, but she’ll need to neutralize Kline’s grappling edge to defy the +310 underdog tag.
As one of the earliest televised matchups on a marquee pay-per-view, this encounter serves as both a proving ground and a potential springboard. A victory for Kline could catapult her into the top 10 discussion, while Hill aims to remind the division of her veteran savvy and reclaim momentum. With contrasting styles, starkly different career trajectories and a clear favorite/underdog dynamic, the Angela Hill vs. Fatima Kline showdown promises intrigue from the moment the cage door closes. Don’t miss this pivotal strawweight battle live from the world-famous Madison Square Garden!
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Angela Hill vs Fatima Kline can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Della Maddalena vs Makhachev can be found on the Della Maddalena vs Makhachev event page.
Matchup Breakdown & Fighter Profiles
Matchup Overview
This Women’s Strawweight clash pits the rising grappling phenom Fatima Kline against seasoned Muay Thai specialist Angela Hill. Both fighters hail from the United States, but their paths to the octagon could not be more different: Kline is a 25-year-old prospect with explosive power and heavy takedowns, while Hill is a 40-year-old veteran known for her high-volume striking and iron chin. Their contrasting styles—grappler vs. striker—and divergent career trajectories set the stage for a classic stylistic showdown.
Fatima Kline Profile
Background
- Age: 25
- Country: United States
- Fighting Style: Grappler
- UFC Debut: July 13, 2024
Kline burst onto the UFC scene just over a year ago. Standing 6′6″ out of Holbrook, she combines above-average reach (67″ arms, 37″ legs) with a relentless wrestling base. Her youth and athleticism have already earned her a reputation as one of the division’s most dangerous finishers.
Recent Form (Last 3 Fights)
- Win vs. Melissa Martinez (KO/TKO, R3 – 2:36) – July 12, 2025
- Win vs. Viktoriia Dudakova (KO/TKO, R2 – 4:27) – January 11, 2025
- Loss vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Decision – Unanimous) – July 13, 2024
After dropping a unanimous decision in her UFC debut, Kline has rattled off back-to-back knockouts, showcasing rapid improvement in her striking and ground-and-pound.
Strengths & Weaknesses
Strengths
- Takedown Accuracy (60%): Converts 6 in 10 takedown attempts.
- Knockout Power: 4 of her 8 wins are via KO/TKO; she finishes fights when the pace slows.
- Sig. Strike Defense (60%): Slim margin for error on the feet; absorbs fewer strikes than division average.
- Youth & Cardio: Averaging 12:21 per fight, Kline maintains a relentless pace.
Weaknesses
- Takedown Defense (50%): Vulnerable when wrestling is reversed.
- Experience: Only three UFC outings; may struggle against veteran savvy.
- Decision Résumé: 1 decision win in 9 pro fights—could face trouble in deep waters if Hill avoids finishes.
Angela Hill Profile
Background
- Age: 40
- Country: United States
- Fighting Style: Muay Thai
- UFC Debut: December 12, 2014
A mainstay of the strawweight division for over a decade, Hill uses crisp combinations, leg kicks, and elite footwork to outstrike opponents. Her veteran instincts and heavy gas tank have frustrated many younger fighters.
Recent Form (Last 5 Fights)
- Loss vs. Iasmin Lucindo (Decision – Unanimous) – August 9, 2025
- Win vs. Ketlen Souza (Decision – Split) – February 15, 2025
- Loss vs. Tabatha Ricci (Decision – Unanimous) – August 24, 2024
- Win vs. Luana Pinheiro (Submission, R2 – 4:12) – May 18, 2024
- Win vs. Denise Gomes (Decision – Unanimous) – November 4, 2023
Hill’s last five outings show a pattern: she battles through adversity, often going the distance, but her win-loss ledger has tilted slightly negative against rising contenders.
Strengths & Weaknesses
Strengths
- Sig. Strike Defense (61%): One of the best in the division at negating significant strikes.
- Takedown Defense (74%): Elite sprawl and balance keep her standing.
- Volume & Durability: Averages 14:23 per fight; rarely gassed and boasts a granite chin.
- Experience: 33 UFC fights provide a mental edge in high-pressure moments.
Weaknesses
- Takedown Offense (30%): Rarely initiates wrestling, limiting versatility.
- Power Finishes: Only 5 KOs in 18 wins; tends to rely on decisions.
- Age Factor: At 40, recovery and reaction speed may wane, especially against younger athletes.
- Sig. Strike Accuracy (50%): Falls in line with Kline, but without Kline’s finishing acumen.
In sum, Kline enters as the athletic powerhouse with grappling and knockout upside, while Hill counters with veteran craft, staunch defense, and cardio to push late-round decisions. This clash of styles makes for an intriguing tactical battle in the early prelims of UFC 322.
Betting Odds & Line Movement
Current Odds Snapshot
Heading into UFC 322, the betting markets have firmly installed Fatima Kline as the heavy favorite across major sportsbooks.
- Fatima Kline: –410 (BetOnline.ag & Bovada)
- Angela Hill: +310 (BetOnline.ag) / +305 (Bovada)
The line differential (–410 vs. +310) underscores Kline’s perceived edge—a 720-point spread in American odds—marking Hill as a clear underdog. Of the two major books, BetOnline.ag currently offers the juiciest price on Hill at +310, making it the best site for value on the veteran strawweight.
Line Movement Analysis
A glance at the odds history for both fighters reveals significant swings over the past two weeks:
Fatima Kline (–410 current)
- Opened at –550 on October 29
- Briefly shortened to –600 (early sharp action)
- Bounced back to –550, then eased to –450
- Settled at –410 as of November 3
Angela Hill (+310 current)
- Debuted at +400 on October 29
- Spiked to +450 (late underdog support)
- Regressed to +400, then improved to +350
- Drifted slightly to +340 before closing at +310
Key takeaways:
- Kline’s line softened from an early –600, indicating late money on Hill or cautious action on Kline’s chalk.
- Hill’s odds moved steadily from +450 to +310, signaling growing confidence (or heavy underdog support) backing the veteran.
These swings suggest sharp bettors are testing both sides, but the market has ultimately circled back to Kline as the safer play.
Payout Scenarios & Implied Probabilities
If you’re ready to risk $1,000 on fight night, here’s what you stand to collect:
-
Bet $1,000 on Kline at –410
• Payout: ~$1,244 back (≈$244 profit)
• Implied Win Probability: ~80% -
Bet $1,000 on Hill at +310
• Payout: ~$4,100 back (≈$3,100 profit)
• Implied Win Probability: ~24%
With those numbers in mind, the choice boils down to risk tolerance:
- A Kline bet returns modest profit on near-certainty.
- A Hill wager offers a life-changing payday but requires bucking the odds by more than three-to-one.
Best Sportsbook & Final Thoughts
For underdog value, BetOnline.ag holds a slight edge thanks to Hill’s +310 line (versus +305 at Bovada). If you’re chasing the bigger score, lock in that +310 price before it tightens any further. Conversely, Kline backers can shop around—both Bovada and BetOnline.ag mirror each other at –410, so focus on user experience and deposit bonuses when placing your bet. Good luck, and may your picks cash in on fight night!
AI Pick: Angela Hill
Click the buttons below to read more about why the AI picked Angela Hill, or see all the AI picks for Della Maddalena vs Makhachev. Our AI is trained on our fight data and picks winners for every fight. You can track all the picks, accuracy, and profit for free on our ai-picks page.
