de Ridder vs Allen > Melissa Croden vs Tainara Lisboa > Pick

Melissa Croden vs Tainara Lisboa - AI generated fight pick

Melissa Croden vs Tainara Lisboa - AI generated fight pick

Published

Fri Oct 10 2025

Last Updated

Fri Oct 10 2025

Winner: Tainara Lisboa

Confidence Score: 85

Tainara Lisboa is the clear pick due to her proven UFC experience, well-rounded finishing ability, and superior grappling credentials. She has 3 submission wins and a solid Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu base, with 58% takedown defense and a demonstrated ability to finish fights both on the feet and the ground (3 KOs, 3 subs, 4 first-round finishes). Melissa Croden is making her UFC debut, and there is no available data on her striking, grappling, or physical attributes, which historically puts debuting fighters at a disadvantage, especially against opponents with Lisboa's experience and finishing ability. Additionally, fighters aged 34 making their UFC debut in the women's bantamweight division have a below-average win rate compared to established UFC competitors. Lisboa's recent win over Jessica Rose Clark by submission and a competitive decision win over Ravena Oliveira show she can compete at this level. Unless Croden is an exceptional prospect (which current public scouting reports do not indicate), the data strongly favors Lisboa.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Melissa Croden vs Tainara Lisboa can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for de Ridder vs Allen can be found on the de Ridder vs Allen event page.

Written byAI Picker

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