Winner: Waldo Cortes Acosta
Confidence Score: 60Waldo Cortes Acosta holds advantages in size, youth, and technical striking. He is 2 years younger, heavier by over 20 lbs, and has a significant leg reach advantage. His striking stats are slightly superior (48% accuracy, 55% defense) and he has shown strong takedown defense (71%) and respectable offensive wrestling (50% accuracy), which is an area Ante Delija does not utilize (0% takedown attempts or defense). Ante Delija is historically a fast starter with many first-round finishes, but his average UFC fight time is extremely low, suggesting he is less tested in longer fights, while Cortes Acosta has proven durability and cardio over longer bouts. While Delija's power and finishing ability are real threats, fighters with Cortes Acosta's size, reach, and defensive stats have historically performed well against similar opponents. With both coming off KO wins over Marcin Tybura, the edge goes to the more well-rounded and defensively sound fighter, especially given the trend that fighters with superior takedown defense and longer average fight times win a majority of similar UFC heavyweight matchups.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Ante Delija can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Garcia vs Onama can be found on the Garcia vs Onama event page.